STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL – Greece: Debt Sustainability Analysis – October 21, 2011

The assessment shows that debt will remain high for the entire forecast horizon. While it would decline at a slow rate given heavy official support at low interest rates (through the EFSF as agreed at the July 21 Summit), this trajectory is not robust to a range of shocks. Making debt sustainable will require an ambitious combination of official support and private sector involvement (PSI). Even with much stronger PSI, large official sector support would be needed for an extended period. In this sense, ultimately sustainability depends on the strength of the official sector commitment to Greece.

http://www.linkiesta.it/sites/default/files/uploads/articolo/troika.pdf

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